Packers Deep Dive -- Second Round Pick Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed's 23rd birthday was an unforgettable one. On Friday, April 28th, the former Michigan State wide receiver received a phone call with a Green Bay area code, and at that moment, he knew his NFL dream was coming true.

The Green Bay Packers selected the Naperville, IL, native with the 50th overall pick in the second round of the NFL Draft. Reed may only boast a 5-foot-11 and 187-pound frame, but he is a tenacious competitor. After playing one year at Western Michigan and then sitting out 2019 to transfer, Reed started three seasons at Michigan State, twice earning Second Team All-Big Ten honors, while also leading the Spartan program in all-purpose yards between 2020-2022.

Reed is a multifaceted playmaker on offense, but he is also one of the top punt returners coming out of college--something he will certainly bring to the Packers roster. The 23-year-old receiver was the talk of Mobile back in January at the Senior Bowl, looking dominant in one-on-one drills and making plays in practice.

The Packers selected Reed with the opportunity to compete immediately for playing time at wide receiver. Green Bay has lost Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard to free agency. Before the draft, the cupboard was bare at the position outside of second-year players Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Samari Toure.

With Cobb gone and Amari Rogers traded to Houston, Matt LaFlauer's offense desperately needed a slot weapon. However, while Reed is a natural fit for this position, he is also versatile enough to line up in a variety of spots on the field.

Here are my observations of what Reed brings to the field after watching over a dozen games from his past two seasons at Michigan State.

College Production

Reed led the Spartans in all-purpose yards in 2020 with 407 receiving yards (33 receptions), 17 rushing yards, and 343 returning yards in seven games. He also caught three touchdowns, while averaging 12.3 yards per carry.

However, Reed's best season was undoubtedly his junior campaign. He led the team in receptions (59), receiving yards (1,026), and touchdowns (10). His 17.39 yards per catch was the second best average in the Big Ten. He also returned 11 punts for 238 yards (21.64 avg) and two touchdowns. Reed's best games came against Youngstown State, Western Kentucky, and Maryland.

Reed's senior season wasn't nearly as impressive, but some nagging injuries and changes in the Spartans offense led to limited production. Michigan State lost stellar running back Kenneth Walker, which led to more attention on Reed and the passing game. Reed still finished the season with 55 receptions, 636 yards, and five touchdowns.

Athletic Testing

Reed's athletic profile doesn't jump off the page. While his speed is respectable (4.45), he has below average height, weight, and vertical for the position. He also only scored in the middle of the pack for the bench press, broad jump, and short shuttle. Reed's 6.74 relative athletic score is well below what the Packers typically draft at the position, especially in the early rounds.

Green Bay typically prefers athletes above the 8.00 RAS score. Lukas Van Ness boasts a 9.39 RAS. Luke Musgrave has a 9.78 RAS, and Tucker Kraft's RAS is 9.68. For this reason, it is easy to see why some were surprised the Packers selected Reed in the second round.

Last year, Green Bay selected Christian Watson in the second round, and his RAS score was through the roof at 9.98. It seems the Packers are taking a different approach this year, but it does make sense. They already have their long athletes to stretch the field in Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Samari Toure. 

The Packers have also made exceptions before at the position when they feel the talent is good enough. Randall Cobb was taken in the second round in 2011 and his RAS was 3.11, while Jordy Nelson's was 7.40, which is closer to Reed's 6.74. Like Cobb, the Packers may being making an exception for a slot receiver in Reed's case. Also, like Nelson, Reed's other traits, like route running, are so developed that they are willing to value it over elite athleticism.

Traits to Love and What Reed Brings to the Packers

1. Polished Route RunnerReed enters the NFL already highly proficient in a variety of routes. He also shows a handful of very creative and explosive release packages. Both of these traits allow him to create separation and win one-on-ones against defensive backs. Watch how in the first clip against Maryland Reed beats his guy at the line of scrimmage with a quick inside-out move to help him gain the edge and work his way to the corner of the end zone. His suddenness and fluidity when changing direction really stand out.

Reed can also change gears and accelerate out of his breaks, whether this is on intermediate routes like outs, slants, or crossers, or he can use it to gain a step on vertical routes. Watch in this next clip from the Pitt game how smoothly Reed accelerates out of his stance on the snap and then creates just enough separation to make the catch over the defender's shoulder. Winning in these tight windows is the name of the game in the NFL, and Reed can really excel at it.

These final handful of clips are from the one-on-ones in the Senior Bowl. These really highlight just how sharp Reed's footwork is when breaking out of his routes and changing speeds. He also shows a variety of releases, which keep defenders guessing. In the video at the 33-second mark is an excellent example of Reed's quick release, but then his ability to stop on a dime, keep his balance, and chop his feet as he comes to a stop on the hitch route. Reed shows excellent ankle flexion and change of direction, which makes him a highly effective route runner.

2. Contested Catch AficionadoThe most exciting part of Reed's game is perhaps his competitive nature in contested catch situations. Reed is a fighter and this shows in jump ball situations. He does a great job high-pointing the ball and going after it. In the following clip from the Pitt game, Michigan State is down five points with three minutes left, and watch how ferocious Reed is in going up and getting the ball to secure the catch over the defender in the end zone.

The next two clips are from the Illinois and Rutgers games, and while they show Reed's ability to make receptions in tight coverage, they also highlight his impressive body control as he adjusts to the ball in the air. On film, Reed consistently shows impressive ball adjustment, which seems to be second nature to him and a highly valuable trait at the next level. In the first clip Reed is guarded by Quan Martin, who was taken in the second round by the Commanders. Martin is certainly trying to get his hands on Reed and bully him, but Reed is unphased by this as he hauls in the catch. The second clip shows Reed's ability to quickly adjust to the ball as he turns his body with a defender in his face to tack the under-thrown pass.

This final clip is from the Michigan game and it demonstrates Reed's ability to make tough sideline catches with a defender draped all over him. Reed's concentration is very impressive, and he also shows good balance as he hauls in the pass while getting his feet down in bounds.

3. Big Play ThreatReed had a whopping 46 explosive plays in his final two seasons at Michigan State. His ability to use his speed to be a deep threat will make him a dangerous weapon in the Packers offense. Reed can stretch the field from the slot or as an "X," and his deceptive speed will force opposing defenses to respect his big-play ability. These next two clips show this very thing. The first one is from the Youngstown State game, and Reed burns two defenders on a post route for a 85-yard touchdown. The second clip is from the Rutgers game, and Reed is lined up in the slot. He slips behind the second level of the defense and splits the safeties down the seam as he hauls in the touchdown. Reed is so smooth in his acceleration that he makes it look effortless.

Reed is not only a big-play threat, however, he is also a receiver that can be a go-to receiver in crucial moments of a game. He doesn't shy away from the most heated part of the game, and it's this competitive spirit that underlines every aspect of his play. In this next clip it is the second overtime against Wisconsin. The Spartans needs to score a touchdown to seal the win, and it's 3rd-and-12. Payton Thorne throws the jump ball to Reed, and he makes one of the most impressive catches of the 2022 season, highlighting just how clutch he can be under pressure.

4. Fearless CompetitorReed is tenacious on the field, whether that is breaking tackles trying to gain the extra yards, fearlessly running across the middle of the field, or taking a hit  as he hauls in a pass. These next three clips highlight just how tough of a competitor Reed is and his ability to get yards after the catch. This makes him a reliable target in the middle of the field and a real weapon out in space.

5. Dynamic ReturnerReed is a fantastic receiver, but what makes him an especially valuable asset to the team is his ability to make plays as a returner. Reed returned three punts for touchdowns in college, and this kind of playmaking on special teams can be a game changer. While Kesean Nixon already has the kick returner job cemented, giving Reed punt return duties could go a long way in maximizing the Packers special teams. Reed is a smooth runner with great vision with the ball in his hands. The following three clips demonstrate just how confident and explosive he can be as a returner. He hits the hole and doesn't hesitate. He is decisive in getting downfield and turning on the burners once there's an opening.

Areas of Improvement for the Next Level

1. Needs to Show Better Effort as a BlockerOne area that really needs a lot of improvement as Reed starts his NFL career is his effort as a blocker. Whether it is in the run game or on the perimeter for wide receiver screens, Reed is very inconsistent in getting his nose in the action and putting his hat on a defender. There is a lot of hesitancy in Reed when engaging defenders. While at times he is successful, there is still a lot left to be desired. He struggles to sustain blocks as he gets flat-footed. Some of the time, he even looks disinterested, which isn't going to go over well in Matt LaFlauer's offense. The Packers require their receivers to be crucial parts of the run game, and Green Bay will certainly miss the void Allen Lazard left as a run-blocking perimeter player. Sometimes, it just comes down to effort, and as is shown in the next two clips, the effort was pretty poor.

2. Needs to Clean up DropsUnfortunately, there are drops on Reed's film, and this will be a work-in-progress for the rookie as he starts his NFL career. Reed's 19 drops in his collegiate career were the 5th most among the 14 wide receivers selected in the first three rounds of this year's draft. However, the Packers have been down this road before. Christian Watson certainly had his fair share of drops in college, and Davante Adams, James Jones, and Jordy Nelson all struggled with drops in their first year or two.

Question Marks Going Into the NFL?

1. Limited to Just Playing Slot? – Because of his size Reed will quickly get pegged as a slot receiver as he begins his NFL career. However, Reed should quickly prove he can play on the outside just as well. He split time between both spots at Michigan State, and he was equally effective in both roles. Because of his top-end speed Reed poses a legitimate threat down the field, making him an outside receiver teams will have to respect if he lines up as an "X". Watson and Reed on the outside will certainly add a lot of speed to the Packers offense. However, if Doubs continues to grow and Toure or Dayvion Wicks show a lot of promise as outside receivers, then Reed may find a home as a "Z". He can run all of the motion and gadget plays the Packers like, and he can stretch the field down the seam or work the middle of the field. However, despite being able to excel in these roles, it doesn't mean he can't develop into a well-balanced wide receiver who offers versatility.

2. What’s His Ceiling as a Pro? – It is hard to say what Reed's ceiling is as a pro. He was Michigan State's No. 1 wide receiver for three seasons, so it is certainly a role he is used to. However, realistically, Reed is probably better suited as a No. 2 or 3 receiver in an NFL offense. He is a great complement to Watson and Doubs. However, some of Reed's best games in college were against lesser competition, like Youngstown State, Western Kentucky, and Rutgers. When going against Michigan's D.J. Turner or Miami's Tyrique Stevenson--both drafted in early rounds this year--Reed's impact was limited. However, this was him playing as an "X" and with opposing defenses zeroing in on him. If teams guard Watson with their top cover corner, and Doubs, Luke Musgrave, Tucker Kraft, or Aaron Jones take some of the defense's attention, then Reed could make an immediate impact as an additional offensive weapon.

Jayden Reed Film: Games vs. Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Northwestern

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9 points
 

Comments (32)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
10ve 💚's picture

May 02, 2023 at 11:45 am

Great article Dan!

Thanks for all the links, now I don't have to go searching for any, I can just come here and click each link 😊

8 points
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DanDahlke's picture

May 02, 2023 at 10:15 pm

Haha, no problem, anytime.

0 points
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NJMagic's picture

May 02, 2023 at 11:45 am

Love that senior bowl film- just nasty. I think that DB is likely STILL out there looking for him.

7 points
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stockholder's picture

May 02, 2023 at 12:44 pm

I still believe the scouting reports.
Body Catches - Senior Bowl Tape has at least 4.
Which is scary for a punt returner.
Next- Deep speed separation - ?
Did show quickness off the LOS-
But this is the NFL now. No patsies at CB.
At least three yrs, like Jones and Adams. who were bigger.
And I'll be frank- Amari Rodgers comparison was perfect.
Fumbling will lead to quicker exit than expected.
If he's as good as James Jones. Gutey got lucky.

-12 points
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jannes bjornson's picture

May 02, 2023 at 12:53 pm

A lot of the quick-twitch, smaller guys went in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Waiting around for a speed guy later on, would have been futile this year. Reed is way more flexible and fluid in his route running then Amari. I will have to watch him during the Summer Session practices. Heading over to Packerland in July to scout some Labradors@ The Kennel.

5 points
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murf7777's picture

May 02, 2023 at 02:09 pm

Amari Rodgers 5'9 211 lbs....I wouldn't say they are anywhere near the same body type. Rodgers was a very compact body, more like a RB. Also, the GB scout had Reed clocked at 4.37 and he is just quicker and more twitchy than rodgers. Don't see the comparison.

6 points
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DoubleJ's picture

May 02, 2023 at 02:45 pm

"Body Catches - Senior Bowl Tape has at least 4."

Depending on what you are doing a body catch isn't necessarily a bad thing.

"Next- Deep speed separation - ?"

You see him gain separation deep in some of his college tape. He is also very good at adjusting his speed during a route to gain separation. For example he might start out slow and then hit the gas after the DB is expecting something else.

3 points
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dobber's picture

May 04, 2023 at 08:23 am

"Depending on what you are doing a body catch isn't necessarily a bad thing."

You've gotta body-catch when the ball is thrown in your bread-basket and many times when you're using your body to wall-off a defender. He shows plenty of ability to snatch the ball with his hands.

1 points
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mnbadger's picture

May 02, 2023 at 12:51 pm

Great compilation of good and Bad.
Better yet, honest analysis of strengths and weaknesses.
I'm now more excited by this pick than I was when I heard it announced.
GPG!

6 points
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splitpea1's picture

May 02, 2023 at 12:52 pm

He may have been a little over-drafted, I don't know, but what I really like about Reed is his competitive nature--and that's something this team could use a lot more of in my opinion. LOL, I'll go out on a limb and say he's going to be whole lot more useful than Amari was. Right now, the Z position seems to be the ideal home for him.

8 points
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dobber's picture

May 02, 2023 at 01:56 pm

Some compare him to Greg Jennings, and while they look very similar in workout numbers and size, people forget that Jennings had three 1000-yard, 10+ TD college seasons under his belt when drafted. I think Reed was a little over-drafted, too, but I think the Packers were looking for a type more than a particular player, and they judged him as the best remaining for that type...I think that's in part what got them in trouble with AmRod.

5 points
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murf7777's picture

May 02, 2023 at 02:14 pm

I sure hope he doesn't become another AmRod. IMO, if you read my above post, they are totally different body types. He's also more twitchy and faster if his 4.37 GB scout time is correct.

2 points
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RedRight49's picture

May 02, 2023 at 01:31 pm

I thought your synopsis of Reed was clear, concise , objective and, your discussion points were well documented by the extensive use of video clips.

Reed appears to have the skill sets to make him an effective weapon in the Pack's Offensive and Special Teams arsenal, especially so when he
is " coached up " on his receiving skills.

Anxious to see his progress in training camp and the pre - season!

3 points
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dobber's picture

May 02, 2023 at 02:01 pm

I look at the number of snaps that Cobb played in 2022--keeping in mind that he missed a few games, but had his snaps inflated when other WR were hurt--and ask if that will be the ceiling for a guy like Reed in this offense. If he balls out, I'm sure they'll try to find more ways to use him.

3 points
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DanDahlke's picture

May 02, 2023 at 10:18 pm

Thanks for the compliments, RedRight49. I'm glad you found the video clips helpful. I was hoping they'd be more helpful than distracting.

1 points
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murf7777's picture

May 02, 2023 at 02:05 pm

"However, some of Reed's best games in college were against lesser competition"

Reeds game stats in 2022:
WI 9/117 1TD
OSU 4/57 1TD
ILL 5/68 1 TD

Those are 3 very good defenses and not lesser competition. That's 3 games with 18 catches 242 yards and 3 TD's. And, he made the play of the game against WI, I still have some nightmares on that play. He did lay an egg against MI with 4/17.

4 points
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DanDahlke's picture

May 02, 2023 at 10:24 pm

Yeah, that's a good point. I did not mean to imply with my comment that teams like Wisconsin, Ohio State, or Illinois have poor defenses, because that was certainly not the case.

However, I meant that by seeing his best production against lesser competition I was more thinking along the lines of the defensive backs he was facing, which I didn't make that clear in the article. Even in the Wisconsin or Ohio State games, he wasn't facing cornerbacks who will play on Sundays. He struggled against D.J. Turner and Tyrique Stevenson, who were both early-round draft picks, which was concerning. Even in the Illinois game, he had some success against Quan Martin, but he struggled in the few snaps he played against Devon Witherspoon. He was productive against Maryland, who had both Deonte Banks and Jakorian Bennett, but he did very little against Banks.

This is all not to say Reed won't be good in the NFL, as the rest of my article argues the opposite. However, one concern was that he may not be a No. 1 at the next level because he didn't make very many plays against some the elite corners he faced.

2 points
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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

May 02, 2023 at 04:21 pm

Dan,
First of all this was an amazing job of pointing out Reed's game. Holy Hanna it was interesting and exciting!

You pointing out Reed's 6.74 relative athletic score vs Randall Cobb's back in 2011 with a 3.11 RAS is telling, Loved Cobb both as a player/person and see Reed's floor that of Cobb, and as a complimentary piece to Watson, Doubs, Musgrave/Tucker. No doubt, Reed's ceiling is unlimited if used properly as that complimentary piece to the offense. What a great great pick-up! When drafted I was caught off guard and once I did a deep dive on him I came to love the pick. If you look for the youtube video of him and his life (not highlights) you will want him to succeed and root for him. I love his competitiveness & love for the game. The fact he is the total package & a team player. A very classy young man!

An amazing youtube video about Jayden Reed the person who you will love to watch. A video with insight about him and the challenges he faced growing up. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yQLmrnFPSzI

Like this!
"He can run all of the motion and gadget plays the Packers like, and he can stretch the field down the seam or work the middle of the field. However, despite being able to excel in these roles, it doesn't mean he can't develop into a well-balanced wide receiver who offers versatility."

The Packers offense is going to be dynamic and continuously improving game after game. With health and the veteran OL this offense come mid-season should be pretty formidable. An offense we can win with!

6 points
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DanDahlke's picture

May 02, 2023 at 10:27 pm

Thank you for the great feedback and kind thoughts. I'd definitely like to checkout this video. I didn't do as much research into Jayden Reed as a person, so this is great. Thanks for sharing.

3 points
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dobber's picture

May 04, 2023 at 08:40 am

"You pointing out Reed's 6.74 relative athletic score vs Randall Cobb's back in 2011 with a 3.11 RAS is telling"

Davante Adams was 6.51.

So much of it is between the ears and doesn't show up in testing. Is he a student of the game? How does he see the field, anticipate, and react? What kind of competitor is he? How dedicated is he to get better?

2 points
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Spock's picture

May 04, 2023 at 10:19 am

Knock, thanks for the video showing this young man's story to date. I'll be rooting for him to succeed!

0 points
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Swisch's picture

May 02, 2023 at 06:47 pm

I love those quick feet of Jayden Reed.
While I'm about the same height and weight as Reed, I have had only a tiny fraction of his athleticism -- which is why I retired from tackle football at age 14 after my freshman year in high school.
***
That pass that Jayden Reed caught from Payton Thorne to put Michigan State over the top in overtime against Wisconsin was really painful.
Also, it may have cost interim coach Jim Leonhard an opportunity to be named head coach of the Badgers -- although it would have been hard for Wisconsin to pass up Luke Fickell in that role.
***
All of which leads me to one of my old-timey rambles which other fans here at CHTV may want to skip.
I just looked it up, the grandfather of Payton Thorne (teammate of Jayden Reed in high school and college) was my freshman basketball coach at Wheaton Central High School, in the suburbs west of Chicago, way back in 1976-1977.
It wasn't until the 1990s that John Thorne coached this high school into a state powerhouse in football (several decades after the heyday of alum Red Grange) with four championships during the decade. At least a dozen years after my graduation, I remember watching in amazement on television as the Tigers won a title as the best high school football team in the entire state of Illinois.
Then, Thorne moved to coach nearby North Central College in Naperville, also to great success.
***
Payton Thorne and Jordan Reed played high school football at Naperville Central, a conference rival of Wheaton Central, although by then my high school had merged with another high school to become Wheaton-Warrenville South. Coach Thorne was succeeded there by Ron Muhitch, who led the Tigers to three more state championships in football in the 2000s.
Muhitch was an assistant coach of the freshman team when I was a player back in the fall of 1976.
***
In my mediocrity as an athlete, I wouldn't have made much of an impression on either of coaches Thorne or Muhitch way back when.
As a tight end my freshman year, I caught just three total passes for the season, although all for touchdowns, on halfback passes. I figured that was about as good as it would get for me in football, so I retired.
Basketball was my passion, and somehow I made the team all four years, although even as a sophomore I was coming off the bench.
As a senior, I was way down on the bench -- a little bit like Isaac Lindsey for the Badgers this past year -- and eked out just 44 points for the whole season, about half of them in meaningful minutes. Many games I didn't play at all.
On or about the night my grandfather -- an immigrant as a child from the Austro-Hungarian Empire prior to WWI, and a retired city bus driver -- died in Milwaukee in 1980, our coach unexpectedly put me in a game during the first half against Glenbard North.
I like to think it was due to my grandfather's intercession -- although at the time I didn't know he had passed on -- that his rather short and slow grandson actually got in the game, and even scored I think 5 points, which was a whopping total for me.
So, that's pretty much the extent of my career in sports, a rather humble tale. If anyone made it this far, thanks much for listening to my reminiscence in senescence at age 60.

2 points
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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

May 02, 2023 at 06:57 pm

Swisch,
I always read your comments as you are one of the best here at expressing your thoughts & perspective. Love the fact that every time you caught a pass it went for a TD. Pretty impressive! Not many can say that! I am also impressed with your memories. As we age, it is nice to be able to reflect back and think about some of our life experiences. Thanks for sharing buddy! BTW, five whole points in that basketball game....good job & fantastic memory!

We have an exciting upcoming training camp & season where we can share many comments/thoughts.

2 points
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Swisch's picture

May 02, 2023 at 07:38 pm

Thanks very much, Knock, for the very supportive reply to my recounting of the best moments of my averageness as an athlete.
With so few highlights along the way for me, they are much easier to remember.
***
I'm super excited about the Packers this upcoming season in all of their youthfulness, combined with some key veterans.
The drama is in not knowing how it will all turn out in the near future.
The fun is in seeing all of this talent and likeability coming together as a team to draw in fans to be a part of the ride for a new era.
With the fans as a positive source of some discernment and much encouragement, I'm sincerely hoping for a Super Bowl victory under Jordan Love in the next three seasons.
Why not the Packers, and us as fans as part of the dynamic of a revived Titletown?

1 points
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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

May 02, 2023 at 09:32 pm

I'm with you Swisch!!!

2 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

May 02, 2023 at 08:42 pm

He’s got skills and a great attitude. If you familiarize yourself with this kid and his story, you will definitely become a fan.
If not, there is no hope for your soul.

Have a nice day!

8 points
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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

May 02, 2023 at 09:34 pm

TK,
You along with the likes of Leotis, JB, Oppy, and a half dozen others routinely make me smile/laugh. It is needed! Thanks!

3 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

May 02, 2023 at 10:00 pm

Thanks, amigo.
Gotta keep this stuff in perspective. It falls under the “entertainment” category for the well-adjusted!

3 points
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Oppy's picture

May 03, 2023 at 05:44 am

Just because a WR is short and compact doesn't make him a "Natural fit" for the slot position.

Look at your fancy graph you attached to this article. Reed is a straight line speed receiver. He's slightly under average short distance acceleration (10 yard split, 46th percentile), doesn't have better than average explosion (broad jump, 50th percentile), has poor change of direction / burst (20 yard shuttle, 34th percentile). Scouting reports also suggest he's got stiff hips.

This man may be a fine WR, but a "Natural fit" as a slot receiver he is not.

-2 points
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dobber's picture

May 04, 2023 at 08:27 am

Part of that is vision and anticipation, and I think he sees the field pretty well. That plays to his advantage whether he's running out of the slot or outside. Many scouting reports I've read say "versatile", which will help him to get snaps in this offense.

0 points
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PatrickGB's picture

May 03, 2023 at 11:08 am

Amari Rodgers had a worse RAS. He was 5.37.

0 points
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Rebelgb's picture

May 03, 2023 at 11:36 am

I think part of the Packs decision to not weigh so heavy on his RAS is his maturity and drive as a football player. This guy seems to be all about football. Some players have that, some dont. A young team needs guys like Reed and im glad they tood him. Hopefully he turns out to be a good football player for us.

3 points
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