Packers Need Clay Matthews to Find his Old Form

If the Packers defense is going to be Super-Bowl caliber, it's going to need a resurrgent Clay Matthews. 

Clay Matthews wasn't the Claymaker in 2016.

Clay Matthews wasn't the Claymaker in 2016.

If the Green Bay Packers are going to be Super Bowl contenders again this season, they need a few things to happen -- one of those, is for Clay Matthews return to his All-Pro form.

Over the past two seasons, there have been a lot of problems with the Packers defense. The secondary has been the biggest issue, particularly last season. However, there was another problem for Green Bay defensively last year and that was simply a lack of impact plays.

By the end of the season, the Packers found a way to force 25 turnovers and 39 sacks, which are solid numbers. Yet, 10 of those turnovers came in two games against Houston and Chicago. And in the postseason, when the pass rush was needed most, it was nowhere to be found.

In three playoff games, the Packers registered just four sacks. They got two against the Giants and Cowboys and none against the Falcons. For his part, Clay had just one, which came on a forced fumble against Eli Manning, otherwise, he was a non-factor in all three games.

The lack of postseason pass rush highlights a bigger problem and that’s the possible decline of Matthews as a pass rusher over the past few seasons.

Obviously, he spent a good chunk of the 2015 season playing inside linebacker, but over the past two seasons, Matthews has registered just 11 sacks, the same number as he had in 2014 alone.

Injuries were a big factor in his decline last season. He missed games and then when he did return, his shoulder never seemed right. The 6-time Pro Bowler deserves the benefit of the doubt, but if the Packers are going to get back to playing championship level defense, they need Matthews to get back to being a double-digit sack guy or move back to inside linebacker.

And it's not just sacks in decline, he’s making fewer big plays. For instance, during his first six seasons, he forced 12 fumbles -- the last two seasons, he has forced one. So not only is Matthews not finding the quarterback as much, he’s not finding the ball as much either as he had 71 tackles in 2014, followed by 66 in 2015 and just 24 last season.

Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy already said he is going to be moving Matthews around this season and that’s a good thing. Let him play on the edge and let him play some inside, where’s he effective against the run and also an outstanding blitzer up the middle.

But the bottom line is that Matthews was supposed to be the Aaron Rodgers of the defense and when the Packers were at their best, he was. He hasn’t been that since early 2015 and unless he finds that form again next season, the Green Bay defense will have a hard time meeting the expectation of a Super-Bowl caliber unit. 

 

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Chris is a sports journalist from Montana and has been blogging about the Packers since 2011. Chris has been a staff writer for CheeseheadTV since 2017 and looks forward to the day when Aaron Rodgers wins his second Super Bowl. Follow him @thepackersguru

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Comments (27)

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carusotrap's picture

April 09, 2017 at 06:50 am

We need to stop with the Clay Matthews outside linebacker stupidity. His best 1 and a half seasons in the last 4 were when he was inside, and I no longer care about "hurting his feelings." When he plays inside, he is effective. When he tries to rush the QB from the outside, he quickly becomes a guy standing around watching another 20 yard completion (or grabbing his hamstring).

When you play like he did last year, you no longer get to throw down the diva card. He's becoming dangerously close to being a JAG, and with his cap hit, cutting his rear end isn't as unthinkable as it might have been three years ago.

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Chris Pattee's picture

April 10, 2017 at 05:21 pm

I totally agree. I look back to when they (the league) started looking intently at Clay's PED usage. It seems his performance has dwindled since then as well....maybe. :)

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NickPerry's picture

April 09, 2017 at 07:10 am

Because the packers are going to be moving Matthews around he'll put up better numbers as long as he's healthy. The key to this whole defense getting better will be moving Matthews around, Nick Perry staying on the field healthy WITH Matthews, and finding another OLB who can generate pressure and 6 or 8 sacks himself.

Hopefully Frackrell has lived in the weight room this offseason and added some bulk and strength. He could be a huge part of the reason this defense makes a turn around or not and I still think he can be a hell of an OLB. Everybody in the backend gets better with a pass rush. Imagine what a pass rush might do for a Randall or Rollins confidence when they KNOW they won't have to cover for 4, 5, or 6 seconds every time a opposing QB drops back to pass, and confidence is something both those youngsters will need early in 2017.

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Oppy's picture

April 09, 2017 at 01:09 pm

I don't think the scenario fits the reality.

The Packers chalked up 40 sacks last season.

That was good enough to make them tied at 6th most productive pass rush in terms of sacks in the NFL last year.

I'm over simplifying this a bit, but with that statistic in mind and applying it to your scenario, that would suggest to me that either our defense gets a lot of sacks after 4, 5, 6 seconds (which would imply the CBs are doing a better job of covering than we give them credit for), or that the Packers defense was generating a pass rush that was getting sacks much sooner than 4, 5, 6 seconds, which would insinuate that our CB's were not failing due to lack of adequate pass rush which led them to have to cover for too long a time span- and if that is the case, I don't think improving the pass rush by a half sack per game (the difference between #6 GB's 40 sack total and #1 ATL's 48 sacks) would be as impactful to our CB's coverage as some might believe.

Now, I'm sure the follow up will be "It's not just about sacks, it's about pressures and hits, too!" and I would completely agree. In fact, I bring it up almost every year about some player or another that is being called a "bust" or "JAG" because sacks aren't showing up on the stat sheet even though he is causing disruption and either hitting the QB or moving him off the mark. With that being said, hurries, hits, pressures, etc are usually what you're getting when you don't get the sacks. In 2016, the Packers were actually getting home and tallying sacks.

IMO. The biggest impact to the Packer's defensive backfield is going to come from two areas: Health and depth chart- two things that were immediately impacted from the start of the 2016 season and never really overcome.

Losing your #1 CB for the entire season has a ripple effect, forcing every other DB to cover a higher caliber WR than would normally be asked of them. It is the inverse of MM's offensive philosophy on WR depth: "We're betting our #3 WR or #4 WR is better than your #3 or #4 corner." Especially when we're talking about young players, a guys like Randall, Rollins, or Gunter- individually as well as in terms of a group, are going to look a whole lot better playing against #2, #3, #4 WR's than they do playing against #1, #2, #3's. The addition of Davon House will certainly take a great deal of burden off of at least 2 if not all 3 of the above mentioned young players.

In terms of health.. Well, perhaps only Gunter played a mostly healthy season in 2016. Both Rollins and Randall were missing games and struggling through hip/knee/ankle injuries all year.

Now, does that mean pass rush isn't a big factor in creating success in the secondary? No, that's not what I'm saying, of course pass rush is a big factor. What I am saying however is the Packers weren't lacking pass rush in 2016, and therefore, I don't believe lack of pass rush was a primary factor in the atrocious play of our secondary in 2016.

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stockholder's picture

April 09, 2017 at 01:51 pm

Losing your #1 corner has rippling effects. And thats not going to be cured by House. House is not a #1 CB! And the fact that he came back to Green Bay for less money, proves that. If TT can get Randall, Rollins and Gunter to take the next step. {House will be traded, like Mc Cray of last year. } So It's a good bet that TT will draft a secondary position over OLb. But he should take Watt first. The defense needs playmakers now. And like we saw with any LB TT selected; They need time to develop.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 09, 2017 at 07:21 am

I'm curious where they are going to play Perry this year. He always played better on the right, but spent a lot of time on the left, because Matthews was on the right. Then, last year, I noticed that Perry was finally being effective on the left. So, will Perry be on the left, with Elliot on the right? Or Perry on the right, with Fackrell on the left? Or what?

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NickPerry's picture

April 09, 2017 at 07:34 am

I think they'll move them all around but Perry will primarily be lined up against the LT. Perry was most effective last season with Matthews on the field.
There was a piece written December 2nd, 2016 where they wrote about the difference in Perry's stats at that time with and without Matthews, the Packers were 5-6 at the time. When Matthews was injured and out Perry only had 2.5 sacks at the time, with Matthews he had 5.5 sacks. The Packers also were 4-3 at the time with Matthews on the field and 1-3 without him. Maybe the stats weren't there but the wins were, at least more of them.

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Tundraboy's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:55 pm

As with a lot of areas on D, the Packers are simply not deep enough to withstand missed games by Matthews,Perry or anybody for that matter. With none of the rookies having a big impact, it was what we saw. Here's hoping for health and someone to emerge in a big way this year. Who is anyone's guess.

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NickPerry's picture

April 09, 2017 at 10:02 am

The depth at OLB scares the hell out me right now. Perry has never played a full 16 game schedule. Matthews might last the season considering the 1 1/2 seasons he played inside he played all 16 games for the only times in his career, maybe he can this year. After that everyone is unproven and that word "HOPE" is attached, even though I think Frackrell comes through.. The rest of the depth will be rookies and UDFA they they draft and sign this year...

Someone keeps bringing up Gerald Hodges. Right now I don't really give a damn WHY the 49ers haven't signed him for 2017, they have a GM who was preparing this time last season to be a TV Announcer. The kid played pretty well last year on a really bad team. I can't imagine he'd cost that much and given the Packers current depth definitely worth taking a look at.

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MITM's picture

April 10, 2017 at 05:25 am

Im the one who keeps bringing up Gerald Hodges, as an addition at ILB. He would immediately be our best ILB. He is not a 3-4 OLB in any way shape or form though.

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calabasa's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:17 am

Matthews for Sherman.

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Oppy's picture

April 09, 2017 at 01:30 pm

I'm sorry you're getting so many dislikes- I would take that deal in a heart beat if it were offered.

I firmly believe Richard Sherman would do more for this defense than Clay Matthews does at this point...

And I don't think Clay is getting another contract in GB...

So this would be a short term net gain in my opinion.

Simply put, DC's have to "game plan" for Clay Matthews- know where he is and maybe slide protection to his side... But Richard Sherman effectively cuts the opposing QB's field in half and allows the entire backfield to focus on half as much field as well.

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Lphill's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:33 am

I think he can do better when healthy, also I like moving him around and keep the offense guessing . I think he bounces back this season plus some help on D won't hurt either.

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Savage57's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:38 am

It's hard to figure Matthews out. Is the injury trend a function of playing harder than his body can bear, or is it just a fluke?

Either way, it's really tough to watch the Packers continue to pay so much for so little production. And we as fans need to let go of the 'he's someone DC's have to game plan for'. All they need to do these days is tell the LT to block him and he's pretty much out of the play.

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Slim11's picture

April 09, 2017 at 09:49 am

IMO, it's age and the position.

Playing OLB, Matthews usually is going all out one direction or the other when rushing the passer. At ILB, he might rush the passer or, more often than not, has to read and react a little more.

Both positions create wear and tear on the body. The physical demands are a little different on a 3-4 OLB and a 3-4 ILB. When CM3 was playing inside, his durability appeared to improve and, again IMO, was more productive overall.

These days, he's more valuable inside than outside. He's also a pass rushing threat up the middle. That's not a bad thing.

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stockholder's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:39 am

Mathews or anyone else is not going to help, unless this secondary can play like 2010. The secondary was the problem! You don't get playmakers late in the draft. ( It takes development.) The best thing that TT can do, is take the 2 best guys that can start right away. He must hit on his first pick. And it must be defense.

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egbertsouse's picture

April 09, 2017 at 08:40 am

Nobody will trade for a $15 mil a year for a guy who is basically anILB who gets 4-5 sacks and is more conce.rned with his movie "career" than football.

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WyoPackfan's picture

April 09, 2017 at 09:17 am

If Clay has another down year he'll more than likely be a cap casualty in 2018. Someone said it on another article, but he's essentially on a series of 1 year deals from here on out. That's not necessarily a bad thing. Let's see what you've got Clay.

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Bert's picture

April 09, 2017 at 09:30 am

I'm thinking that Clay is at the age where a return to Pro Bowl form probably isn't gonna happen. His age and past injuries indicate that he is in decline. He's still a solid starter but no longer the impact player he was a couple years ago.

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Andrew Lloyd Peth's picture

April 09, 2017 at 09:34 am

This is Clay's last season in Green Bay, since there's no cap hit for losing him next year and we just can't trust his health.

Move him around the defense and hope he stays healthy enough for one last good season.

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Oppy's picture

April 09, 2017 at 01:25 pm

Clay Matthews' last year in GB.

That's both what I think, and what I hope for.

Unless he would be willing to take a big pay reduction for a contract extension, he falls neatly into the category of a player that is getting to that age and already in decline- better to move on without him while he still offers something than keep him around after he doesn't.

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Point-Packer's picture

April 09, 2017 at 01:35 pm

Clay Mathews sits atop the most overpaid player in the NFL list the last two seasons. Guy gets paid like he's the best of the best, but at this point, he's a JAG. And then whines when he gets moved to a position where his play is at least worth half of his pay.

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Bearmeat's picture

April 09, 2017 at 07:34 pm

I've made my feelings on CM3 well known around here for over 2 years. Dude is not a difference maker. Dude hasn't been a difference maker, really, since 2013 at the latest as a pass rusher. Dude is paid like a difference maker. Dude is always hurt. Dude's best buddies ALL got busted for PEDs and dude himself has always been questioned. Dude gained a LOT of weight and explosiveness as a SENIOR at USC. He was a walk on until his senior year, then all of a sudden a 1st round pick???

I don't think it's a coincidence that his play declined sharply as soon as the NFL started making rumblings about testing for HGH, nor that he's fallen off a cliff since signing his big deal post 2013.

All the evidence points to roids, guys. All of it.

CM3 WAS a great player. On roids. From 2009-2013. He is not any longer any more than a highly overpaid JAG. And if Green Bay had ANYONE who could rush the passer other than Perry, I'd want Clay gone. Now.

Unfortunately, they need his always-injured ass, and his bloated salary until they can replace him. And it's KILLING the defense. He is not a dependable player anymore, and we will not see him "regain" his form that was never naturally his in the first place.

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jeremyjjbrown's picture

April 09, 2017 at 04:30 pm

Seams like I read some version of this every offseason for the last 5 or so years. Sadly, it seams like he is one of the more overrated players in the NFL.

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mbpacker's picture

April 09, 2017 at 04:44 pm

I respect Matthews but I don't see him as the edge rusher he once was. I think age has caught up with him and can't expect him to consistently do what he did in the past. He may have some games here or there where looks like that but don't think he can , especially by the end of the year. I think move him inside or as MM said they will move him around which makes sense. Gosh, it would be good to have him back as a blast from the past. Think the pressure is going to have to come from someone else or by committee, i.e. the DL too.

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Since'61's picture

April 09, 2017 at 07:16 pm

IMO, the issue isn't that Matthews needs to return to form, rather the issue is that someone, CM3 or otherwise needs to get more pressure on QBs and make more plays on the defense. Bottom line is that we need better players on defense. We need to generate more pressure up the middle to get in the QBs face and force him to move. Also we need better ILBs who can be effective against the run and provide coverage in the middle of the field which is always open. CM3's performance may or not improve in 2017 but the reality is that he is not likely to return to his 2010 form (Now 7 seasons ago) or even return to a pro-bowl level. Where we really need improved play is from our DL. Daniels is being marginalized since he now faces the double teams formerly reserved for CM3. Therefore Clark, Lowry, and now Ferguson need to deliver improved play on the DL. That's first. Assuming Perry, CM3 and Fackrell can at least maintain their the level of play from 2016 we then need better play from our ILBs and CBs. Those two position groups were consistently the most exposed during 2016. We need better players and a better level of play from those two position groups and the DL, regardless of how well CM3 plays. Thanks, Since '61

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Point-Packer's picture

April 10, 2017 at 12:33 am

Super Bowl teams (the Patriots) don't pay a JAG 15 whatever million dollars a year. Take a pay cut or cut him.

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