Redzone Opportunities Will Be Key For Packers
Packers need to cash in touchdowns when they reach the redzone this Saturday.
By Dan Saia
The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears are gearing up for what is sure to be a tight contest this Saturday night in the wild card round of the NFL playoffs. If it’s anything like the first two matchups, it very well might come down to the final play. Of course, in the first game it was a Caleb Williams end zone interception by Keisean Nixon that sent the home fans home happy. Two weeks later in Chicago, it was a botched onside kick recovery by Green Bay that gave the Bears the opportunity to tie it up and then win it in overtime. Both games were as close as can be, and this week will likely be similar.
But when you look back on that second game in Chicago, the Packers had a few opportunities to really blow the door open but unfortunately were never able to. If they want to get out of Chicago as winners and advance to Seattle, they’ll need to fix their woes in the red zone and not have a repeat of game two.
In that game, the Packers went 0-for-5 in the red zone. In a contest that ultimately went into overtime, failing to capitalize on those missed opportunities was massive. Five times they got inside the Bears’ 20-yard line and ended up with zero touchdowns to show for it. The results of those five trips were getting stopped on fourth down on the opening drive (with a strange play call), a Josh Jacobs fumble on the 3-yard line, and three short Brandon McManus field goals. Five trips and nine points. The only touchdown they managed was a long pass from Malik Willis to Romeo Doubs. That’s simply too many points left on the field, and certainly in a playoff game, that’s going to get you sent home.
Beyond just their struggles in that game, it’s been more of a trend than a one-game anomaly. Through the first 13 games of the season, the Packers ranked second in the entire NFL in red zone efficiency. They scored a touchdown on 32 of their 47 trips, which is good for 68.1%. During those 13 games, the Packers looked borderline unstoppable once they entered the opponent’s 20-yard line. Since then, they have dropped all the way to 14th in the NFL. In their current slump, they have been scoring touchdowns at just a 58.9% clip (33-for-56). Is it a coincidence that since they started slumping in the red zone they have ended the season on a whimper with a four-game losing streak? Perhaps. If you asked offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich, he would likely agree.
“That’s certainly been our Achilles heel as of late,” he told reporters last week before the Vikings game. “When you’re talking about offensive production and scoring points, I think what we do in the red zone is extremely important. We had a couple of turnovers down there, so just things like that—where we get opportunities to score points and score seven points—we’ve got to make sure we do it, especially when you’re playing really good teams.”
So what’s behind the red zone blues? Yes, turnovers, as Stenavich alluded to. Jacobs cannot fumble the ball on the 3-yard line, but that’s not the biggest issue. The simplest answer is the play calling from Matt LaFleur. The Packers have mostly been calling run plays when down in the red zone. They have a 45.6% pass rate in the red zone this season, which ranks 24th out of 32 teams. Especially on second down, LaFleur seems to love to run it. Green Bay ranks 17th in red zone rush EPA on the season. That’s in the bottom half of the league, yet Matt seems to think that’s the best way for this team to score. This offensive line hasn’t been nearly good enough in the run game, and they have struggled throughout the season trying to establish themselves as a run-first team, so it may be time to try something different.
Instead, they need to put the ball in Love’s hands when it matters most, and that’s what they need to do on Saturday night when they enter the Bears’ 20-yard line. Jordan Love is first among all qualifying quarterbacks in the NFL in red zone EPA per play. The Packers have plenty of offensive weapons at Love’s disposal to draw up some creative plays. If you really want to get the ball in Jacobs’ hands, he’s a terrific option in the passing game, as he showed against the Denver Broncos when he mossed a defender and made a toe-tapping touchdown grab. After weeks of underwhelming red zone offense and overthinking how to get the ball into the end zone, the answer is simple: just let Love cook.
Maybe help is on the way. At practice on Wednesday, The Athletic’s Matt Schneidman spotted former offensive coordinator and former Denver Broncos head coach Nathaniel Hackett in attendance. Hackett is technically a consultant for the Packers on the defensive side of the ball, similar to the role that LaFleur’s buddy Robert Saleh held last year once he was fired as head coach of the New York Jets. The Packers’ red zone results when Hackett was the offensive coordinator were outstanding. Hackett famously referred to it as the “gold zone,” and during Aaron Rodgers’ back-to-back MVP seasons, the Packers ranked second and fifth respectively in red zone touchdowns. LaFleur has a great resource at his disposal this week, and hopefully he taps into it.
If the Packers want to survive another week and advance to play the top-seeded Seahawks in the divisional round, they cannot continue their trend of struggling in the red zone. In the playoffs, the margin for error shrinks enormously, and when you miss prime opportunities to put points on the board—and in the case of the game a few weeks ago, put an opponent away—you pay for it. It’s time for the Packers to get back to dominating in the “gold zone.”
-Dan Saia




Comments (22)
T7Steve
January 08, 2026 at 02:29 pm
TDs, not field goals or botched 4th downs. So let it be written let it be........
That's kind of what the game of football is all about. Getting scores and stopping scores. I wonder if I'm the first one to think of that? HA!
Just win baby!
Anyone seen the latest on the weather there for game time?
jlc1
January 08, 2026 at 04:20 pm
You're right. Win the RZ? Duh.
As for MLF last year his main plan in the RZ was Jacobs. Now that he is apparently healthy I fully expect that to be his plan again.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:14 am
We don't have the horses to be a run first team. Pass first, we certainly do! And establishing the pass to open up the run is perfectly valid strategy. Can MLF adjust to coaching the team he actually has instead of the team he wishes he had, or will he be stuck on stubborn?
packer132
January 08, 2026 at 05:14 pm
Weather looks decent as low 30's with chance of light snow and fairly windy.
Good January weather for a game and could impact passing.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:18 am
Current weather report calls for maybe an inch of snow tomorrow morning, 7 PM temp of 30 falling to 26 by 11, 17 mph wind coming out of the west, might shift slightly towards the north before the game is over.
PackerBackerAZ
January 08, 2026 at 02:51 pm
Dennis Allen will have da Bears ready to keep the Packers from touchdowns in the red zone. AGAIN!
I so want LaFleur to morph into the great coach some think he is. I so want the Packers to be in the Super Bowl. I so want the Packers to win this Super Bowl.
I admit to being an nonbeliever, but I will always hope for the Packers being the best.
My belief is that Johnson will have a blocking scheme that allows da Bears to run rampant on Hafley's defense.
T7Steve
January 08, 2026 at 02:57 pm
Are you sure you're on the right web site?
GregC
January 08, 2026 at 03:18 pm
Did LaFleur's play-calling change when the team's red zone production hit the skids, starting with the Denver game? If not, I would be inclined to think the lack of success was mostly due to lack of execution rather than poor play-calling. Having backup QBs playing for more than half that time may have had something to do with it as well. And no Zach Tom.
splitpea1
January 08, 2026 at 03:36 pm
According to recent SI article highlighting the last Bears game, blame was laid mostly on execution: Watson not running the precise route to the pylon; Belton missing a block; Musgrave missing a block; Wilson not catching the lateral. Also noted was MLF's insistence on using Love in the shotgun.
Type in "Packers red zone woes" and you can read the entire article on Yahoo. It's very good. But I still think we could use a little more creativity and the element of surprise down there.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:23 am
You're suggesting CHANGE?!? I'm not sure that's in MLF's vocabulary? We'll find out.
It seems obvious to me that when you lose half your team, you will necessarily need to do something differently. And also that when what you're trying isn't working, you need to adjust and try something different. That's just me though, probably crazy talk ...
TarynsEyes
January 08, 2026 at 03:24 pm
Red Zone opportunities are always the key.
jlc1
January 08, 2026 at 04:21 pm
I would amend that to making the most of RZ opportunities is key. But getting them is definitely a necessary step.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:25 am
65 yard bombs occasionally enter the picture, bypassing playing in the red zone entirely.
ricky
January 08, 2026 at 03:36 pm
Will the tiger change its stripes? Or will MLF continue to pound his running backs into brick walls, hoping for different results if he repeats his mistakes often enough? And what happened to the plays were several times a game, a receiver would slip out and there wouldn't be any coverage within twenty yards of him? And please don't get me started about Stenavich as OC. Mike McDaniels was just fired by the Dolphins, and I think he would be a great addition to the Packers offense, where Mike Mac could call the plays, while Matt could oversee the rest of the team.
TarynsEyes
January 08, 2026 at 03:49 pm
MLF will not give up play calling, it would be acknowledging he failed as a HC. He thinks too highly of himself to accept being less than what he wants to be. He can get fired, and he believes another team with hire him as the HC calling the plays. Furthermore, he'll need to be fired twice for that to possibly happen, in GB and the next team.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:34 am
How many HC call plays in the NFL? More than there used to be, but it's really not part of the job description. In key moments there's too much on his plate for him to do everything well. This isn't a consistent problem, and it shows up in various ways.
This trend didn't start until 2017 in the Shanahan tree, and spread to about half the league. It's fine when it works, but not being able to give sufficient attention to important decisions has cost us more than a few games. Clock management, coach's challenge, still needing to call plays and get the appropriate players on (and off!) the field ... with all the staff available there's got to be some way to delegate some of these roles so that everything gets done correctly.
Packers0808
January 08, 2026 at 03:58 pm
Time for a play or two by using Willis in red zone to bewilder the Bears as to what will he do, Run, pass or handoff.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:35 am
I'd love to see it ...
PackEyedOptimist
January 09, 2026 at 07:53 am
Last year, the Packers were one of the BEST NFL teams in the red zone.
What changed?
I think the recent problems were mostly this (not the play calls):
No Zach Tom (our best run blocker), no Tucker Kraft, and an injured Josh Jacobs.
The GOOD NEWS!
Tom will be playing, Jacobs is healthier, and though Kraft isn't back, we now have an improving Anthony Belton. In fact, I think this will be the first game with Tom and Belton starting alongside each other.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:36 am
Valid points.
GPG!!
NFLfan
January 09, 2026 at 08:41 am
I would say it has been the weak OL, not MLF who has been holding up Red Zone success.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 09, 2026 at 10:37 am
And yet a HC needs to adjust to the players he actually has, not continue to coach as if he still had the team he no longer has.