The Packers Are Once Again Playing With House Money
The Green Bay Packers will enter the postseason as underdogs for the second year in a row.
The 2023 and 2024 Green Bay Packers might be different in a lot of ways, but as far as the national media is concerned, their postseason outlook feels the same: they’re underdogs.
The Packers were five-point underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles as of Thursday night. If Green Bay comes out victorious on Sunday, they’ll head to Detroit for a third matchup with the Lions, where they’d undoubtedly be underdogs again. It’s also possible they’d be considered underdogs against any remaining team in the NFC Championship Game.
This year’s Packers, a more mature version of last year’s team, came into 2024 with higher expectations following a 9-8 season in 2023 where they snuck into the playoffs as a wildcard. Despite winning 11 games this season, fan optimism has dipped, and there’s good reason for that sentiment.
Green Bay went winless in five games against the NFC's top three teams, losing by an average of just 4.4 points to opponents with a combined 43-8 record. Moreover, they finished 1-5 in the division, and played poorly in the final two weeks of the regular season. They haven’t beaten a contender all year, and if they’re going to make a Super Bowl run, they’ll have to beat both Philadelphia and Detroit on the road. In 2023, there were no expectations, and any positive result in Dallas and Santa Clara was a bonus. This year, however, a step forward was expected, so securing only the seventh seed feels like an underachievement.
The Packers aren’t focused on the narratives. They’re not concerned with being underdogs or what the media says. They’re focused on handling their business, and once the game starts in Philly, they’ll believe they can win. The same mindset will apply if they move on to Detroit.
Few people will pick the Packers to win in Philadelphia, and even if they advance, not many will pick them to beat Detroit either. The way I see it? They have nothing to lose. But to be fair, the Packers would probably disagree with me, along with many fans. Just as Green Bay fans saw this team ready to take the next step, I’m sure the feeling inside 1265 was similar, so the idea of "playing with house money" might not sit well with them. Still, can anyone really argue that the 15-2 Lions, having their best season in franchise history, face the same pressure as the seventh seed? I don’t think so.
My point is, if there’s any narrative that can take the pressure off the Packers, why not embrace it? They aren’t exactly playing their best football right now. People will overlook them, including some Packers fans who already consider them eliminated. After all, if that’s the case, what is there to lose, right? LaFleur's team can go out there and play fast and loose.
The "Everybody is counting us out" narrative will only continue to grow, and it’s something that Green Bay could use to their advantage. At the same time, the Packers need to play like a contender and prove they can beat one. They still have time to change the "they can’t beat contenders" narrative, and that starts by eliminating their own self-inflicted wounds.
I was at Corinthians Arena for the Packers' season opener, and it was clear they were the better team on the field. Green Bay averaged 7.1 yards per play compared to the Eagles' 5.5, won the turnover battle 3-1, and outrushed Philadelphia 163 to 144 yards. Defensively, the Packers recorded seven tackles for loss to the Eagles' five.
The game wasn’t about Philadelphia outplaying Green Bay. It was about LaFleur’s team repeatedly getting in its own way. The Packers managed just one touchdown in five trips inside the 25-yard line, settling for field goals four times and leaving 19 points on the board in a game they lost by five. The Eagles are a great team, but Green Bay’s mistakes hurt them more than anything Philadelphia did.
If Green Bay can avoid the costly errors that derailed them in Brazil, they’ll have a much better chance of upsetting the Eagles. Getting some key players back, including Evan Williams and Quay Walker, should also bolster the defense and improve their chances.
I’d give the same advice to Packers fans as I’m giving to the team: stay loose on Sunday. I know I’ll grab a beer, sit on my couch, and root for the Green & Gold. Obviously, it’s impossible to fully shut down playoff nerves, but in the back of my mind, I know this team has the capacity to beat the Eagles. If they play like the narrative suggests, then what could really go wrong? And hey, enjoy. This could be the last time we watch them play until August.
The Packers going on the road and beating every contender on their way to a Super Bowl appearance would be one of the most incredible redemption storylines of the year. It won’t be easy, yet if any team can pull it off, it’s the most successful franchise in NFL history.
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Felipe is a Brazilian Packers writer covering the #GoPackGo for CheeseheadTV, Zone Coverage, and Packers Talk. Additionally, he contributes to Cheeseheads Brazil. Follow him on twitter at @Aceti_Felipe.
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Comments (21)
Cheezehead72
January 10, 2025 at 02:37 pm
For me gone are the days when I would get really upset about a Packers' loss. I watch and enjoy the game. I have realized I am only a fan and that there is nothing I can do to affect the outcome. I also put it in perspective. If the worst thing that happens to me is that the Packers are one and done then I have a very good life. After all look at what the people in the LA area are dealing with. And things like that are happening all over the world. I voluntarily help disaster response teams clean up after disasters and that really shows me some of the suffering that people have to deal with.
Racingdad
January 10, 2025 at 07:50 pm
Cheesehead 72 I’m with you it’s only a game don’t get me wrong I love the packers and have followed them since the ice bowl , so I have seen the ugly years and they were not pretty but I still watched and enjoyed the games . Lately I have concentrated more on the players themselves and how the roster is built ( I love doing mock drafts) I kinda figured 25 season would be the one to make a sb run , but if not oh well I will still enjoy the games win or not ! The fire everybody crowd will not like my post but I don’t care . GPG
Oppy
January 11, 2025 at 12:42 am
I'm with you, Cheezehead72.
15, 20 years ago? I was one of those people who let a Packers loss ruin my Sunday, completely taint my Monday, and the malaise was tangible easily through mid week. I was sour and unpleasant. I ranted and raved.
It is such a waste of our time. Left the anger and negativity behind all those years ago. I love watching the Packers, I love the game. There are things that I wish were different, and I can be critical.. but the anger and frustration simply doesn't make sense. It's supposed to be enjoyable for fans.
LambeauPlain
January 10, 2025 at 03:15 pm
Until it's over, the Revenge Tour is on...beat the Eagles, then the lions, and then the Ugly Purple and enjoy the SB game. (hope it would be a repeat of SB I)
LLCHESTY
January 10, 2025 at 03:43 pm
Sounds fun but the Vikings won't make that far.
White92
January 10, 2025 at 04:52 pm
The team repeatedly getting in its own way has been a theme all season. Hopefully that changes Sunday, but I'm not optimistic.
13TimeChamps
January 10, 2025 at 05:08 pm
Like a few other folks on here, I've always thought that 2025 was going to be the year this young team was going to put it all together. I still feel that way. Obviously, it would be great to see them go on a run during these playoffs.
I think 2025 is when we finally see what we have in Jordan Love. Good, bad, or somewhere in between. It'll be his 3rd year as a starter, and 6th year in this offense. If he can get some of his mechanics figured out, I don't see any reason why he can't ascend to a legitimate top 5 QB in this league. But next year is the year...or not. We'll find out one way or the other.
I can already anticipate the "Well, if you're happy to make the playoffs" and the "We need to CLEAN HOUSE" crowds showing up en masse if we lose, everyone is entitled to their opinion. I'm going to enjoy the game either way.
SicSemperTyrannis
January 10, 2025 at 08:43 pm
Injuries have been the tale of this season. Nobody talks about the fact that the notion of playing through injuries means they really don't recover during the season, with Tucker Kraft and Josh Myers being classic examples of this. As great as #85 has played, his pec and / or shoulder(s) is still hurt. It's probably stronger than it was at the worst part of being injured, but it's not exactly normal. Same with our C; other aches and pains may compete with the lingering / repeating / always present shoulder injury, but it's never become fully functional much less full strength with his workload. Probably wouldn't even if he sat out for 3 games, which is why they don't do that.
This does mean that this rooster's "ceiling" is substantially higher, and success next year will depend in large part on our best players going without injury. As always.
Shooting themselves in the foot vs learning not to is a different dimension.
GPG!!
Since'75
January 12, 2025 at 10:38 pm
Didn't the 2010 season have a plethora of injuries?
Like 13,14 players on IR?
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They come to snuff the rooster, but he ain't gonna die, nooooooooo
Packer_Fan
January 10, 2025 at 06:26 pm
I want Lafluer and Hafley to do better. The players need to play well and smart to avoid mistakes. But I believe that Lafluer needs to do better with good play calling on critical downs and be smart with getting points on the board. Hafley needs to be aggressive. It makes no matter to me to let them score a bunch of points playing Joe Barry prevent defense. This game will come down to aggressive DC at the end of the game to give their team a chance to win. And Love needs to optimize short passes to Jacobs and Kraft to keep the offense in rhythm. Lafluer has a lot to do with this too.
Johann
January 10, 2025 at 07:45 pm
Did anyone watch Halley’s press conference? He has really taken a step back in my opinion. He spinelessly stated that he wasn’t going to cover the last play, because LaFleur already addressed it. He also said that it wasn’t the call that they wanted. THEY CALLED A TO after the Bears had lined up, and after the TO neither team changed their positioning. What followed was the result of the worst possible call imaginable!
SicSemperTyrannis
January 10, 2025 at 08:46 pm
Look at #11 against the Cardinals this year. There's nothing wrong with an 11 yard gain! Doesn't matter if that's 4 yards through the air and 7 on the ground or vice versa. Second and 8 or second and 2? 11 does very nicely. Who needs a high third down conversion rate?
Mister Chievous
January 10, 2025 at 06:31 pm
this "playing with house money" idea is idiotic.
LeotisHarris
January 10, 2025 at 09:49 pm
Not idiotic, but simply not accurate, For that premise to be true, the Packers would be taking risks with gains that were not in their original investment. They've earned the chance to be where they are in the tournament, and have an equal chance to win.
The author could have chosen a different cliche to get to the same place. Readers need to remember none of this is rocket surgery and we can always burn that bridge when we get to it,
Since'75
January 12, 2025 at 10:41 pm
Yea Mister!!......right?
Someone at CHTV needs to sit Felipe down and have a ....talk 🤷♂️
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BTW.....what the f is rocket surgery?
Racingdad
January 10, 2025 at 07:58 pm
Next year we will have - almost- two first rd picks - except Jordan Morgan knows where his locker is - also we get a third rd rb with fresh legs ( they are sending him to Madison) and hopefully no injuries it should be fun
Bitternotsour
January 10, 2025 at 11:03 pm
it will be slightly diminished by picking 32nd, but it's the road we've chosen to travel.
GregC
January 11, 2025 at 04:56 am
I don't think "house money" is quite accurate this time. A loss means that they were less successful than last season. They would be going in the wrong direction with a loss, in spite of having a better regular season record than last year.
I think the Packers are playing for redemption. A win over the Eagles would largely, if not completely, negate their losses to the best teams during the regular season. I would still say not completely, because those losses cost them a chance at a better playoff seeding. It would take a second playoff win to completely erase those regular season losses against high quality opponents.
Razer
January 11, 2025 at 08:10 am
I think Philly has better team bones than the Packers but our team has enough horsepower to win this game. Not putting our guys in a position to win will be on the coaches. The end of the Bears game and ridiculous jet sweeps are not acceptable against top competition. If the coaches do their job then the player needs to do their job - win the one on one, execute the play, don't commit fouls. This game will tell us what we have for coaching staff and player talent. Put your best foot forward boys and may the best man win.
Go Packers
CheesePuff
January 12, 2025 at 08:12 am
Can the Packers win? Yes, on any given Sunday, as they say. Will they win? No, and no knowledgeable fan truly expects them to. That said, this has been another successful season for the publicly owned team. The Packers were entertaining, if frustrating at times, and they made the playoffs. With the enduring dominance of the Lions, the ascendance of the Vikings, and the potential for Chicago to elevate its play (with a competent coaching staff) to playoff level, the Packers will struggle for relevance in the foreseeable future. So enjoy the ride as long as it lasts, celebrate the wins, move on from the losses, and be grateful for a thriving NFL team that is the cornerstone of the Green Bay community. Here’s to 2025!
justjan
January 12, 2025 at 09:42 am
How many times are you going to post this?