Can a Team Be One Player Away?
A single presence can provide the edge
By GregMeinholz

Football is the ultimate team sport. For a team to be successful play after play, they need all 11 players on the field to do their part. It doesn't matter who you have at quarterback; if the offensive line can't protect them, they'll be running for their life. The same goes for a running back. You could have a Hall of Famer in the backfield, but if their line can't open running lanes, they could be going nowhere. It can also count vice versa; you can have an outstanding line, but if your QB is not playing well, you're in trouble. This is true as well on defense. You could have a lockdown secondary, but if there's no pass rush, and the QB has all day to get the ball out, you could be in trouble.
But what about the addition or subtraction of just one single player? Can that turn around a season?
If you ask Green Bay Packers GM Brian Gutekunst, he'll tell you that "You're never just one player away." Which, for the most part, is true. You can't just insert one player and stamp your ticket to the Super Bowl. You need high performance from the rest of your roster as well to get there. But the presence of one player can certainly boost or reduce your odds. An unfortunate walk down memory lane takes us to New Year's Eve, 2020. The Packers were running on all cylinders in the midst of a five-game winning streak to wind out the season. But in practice on this day, left tackle David Bakhtiari suffered a torn ACL along with ligament damage that would shelf him for the rest of the season, and eventually, continued complications would bring his career in Green Bay to an end.
The Packers would continue without Bakhtiari to make it to the NFC Championship game, but would go on to lose against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. To this day, many believe that if Bakhtiari were present at left tackle, Aaron Rodgers may have escaped being pressured all day and sacked five times, with the Packers eventually making it to the Super Bowl. Could the Packers have been one player away from the Super Bowl that season? We will never know.
The Micah Parsons Effect
During the first quarter of the season, it was obvious the effect the addition of Micah Parsons had on the Packers' defense. Not only did they add a relentless pass rusher to get after the quarterback, but they also added a player who would free up others.
For the last year, it's been an argument as to Rashan Gary's true impact on a game. Is he truly a premier pass rusher as advertised? Because the numbers don't quite show it. When you watch Rashan Gary closely on many passing plays during the 2024 season, you'll see him command double-teams and chips from multiple players along his course to the QB. There was no one else for teams to worry about when it came to the Packers' pass rush. In 17 games in 2024, Gary registered 7.5 sacks with 15 QB hits. It earned him his first career Pro Bowl entry, but it just wasn't what many expected of him. Not to mention 2024 wasn't even Gary's second-best statistical season.
Enter Micah Parsons, and that all changes. Now Parsons is commanding more double teams and chips, freeing up Gary and others to go make plays. So far in 2025, Rashan Gary has 4.5 sacks with 7 QB hits. Rashan Gary isn't the only benefactor of the Parsons effect; the secondary is also benefiting from QBs needing to get the ball out quickly to avoid the pass rush, making it easier for the defenders to stay on their assignments until the ball is out.

The Possible Christian Watson Effect
Christian Watson tore his ACL on January 5th of 2025. Yet again, another ACL injury to a key player for the Packers heading into the playoffs, much like David Bakhtiari's injury was. It's unknown whether Watson would've made a difference in the Wild Card defeat against the Philadelphia Eagles, but it is worth noting that the Packers were very stale through the air, and perhaps Watson's presence could've at least helped somewhat to make it a closer game.
Fast-forward again now to 2025, and the Packers' passing attack hasn't exactly been stale, but it's somewhat lacked that "big play" capability. Jordan Love's average depth of target through four games is 8.1 yards. That's not ideal for an offense with aspirations to finish the season in Santa Clara. This is where Christian Watson's presence could make a huge difference.
Ever since Watson was a rookie, we all have known what a big play threat he is. Even if he's not catching deep balls every week, when defenders see him take off downfield, he's taking a corner, and a safety with him. That frees up the rest of the field for the other pass catchers to get open further downfield as well. If they don't give him that attention, then Watson is capable of beating his defender for a huge play.
After the first round of the 2025 draft, many saw Matthew Golden as a Christian Watson replacement. Far from it. Together, both Golden and Watson could give defenses fits with their speed. This leaves Romeo Doubs, Tucker Kraft, and Dontayvion Wicks as benefactors as well, with more space to work in. Let's not forget to mention Watson's team-first attitude when it comes to blocking. Wide receiver screens and bubble passes haven't been as successful so far in 2025. But given Watson's blocking capabilities, this could all turn around when he is on the field.
Also, a stretched field in the passing attack could help open up the running game, which the Packers have sorely lacked so far this year.
The Difference Maker
I wouldn't say a team is ever the addition of just one player away from hoisting the Lombardi trophy. But there is truth in that a single player can help open up aspects of your offense and defense en route to being a more successful squad. And enhanced success as a team leads to the Lombardi.
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Greg Meinholz is a lifelong devoted Packer fan. A contributor to CheeseheadTV as well as PackersTalk. Follow him on Twitter @gmeinholz and Bluesky @gmeinholz.bsky.social for Packers commentary, random humor, beer endorsements, and occasional Star Wars and Marvel ramblings.
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Comments (28)
TarynsEyes
October 08, 2025 at 02:21 pm
The 'One player away' mantra rarely proves to be the reason for success, as the player selected as that player rarely comes through with winning, but more often puts the team in a more difficult situation. A diva, it's about me, salary, etc.
Has Parsons, the 'One player away' crown wearer since the trade, been that guy, no. Is it possible, sure, is it more likely yes than no, no, as his inconsistency has already been witnessed as was in Dallas.. Yes, I know, the stats say he is doing great, but why then did we lose two games to designated bad teams. Has his being double-teamed truly opened the door for the others to play to their once lofty expectations, no.
The 'One player away' is nothing more than a pacifier for the optimist, until that player doesn't change a thing, which seems to be the case for the Packers. They're still suffering the same issues.
Since'75
October 09, 2025 at 06:50 am
Well, without Parsons, no way is Gary a 'sack leader'.
Parsons also has more pressure and hurries than anyone even dbl. and triple teamed on occasion.
Yea, people are going to game plan around Parsons to limit him.
Lets see what happens. "There's a lot of ball game left" - Lord Nags
BuckyBadger
October 08, 2025 at 03:04 pm
Yes a team can be one player away. We have seen it. Tampa Bay in 2020 just needed a QB because the rest of that roster was stacked, Brady knew this when he choose that team. P. Manning did the same thing when he looked at Denver. That team was stacked on D, had good WRs and OL play. Took him a little longer but they could have won it that 1st year as well.
Can a team be one player away that isn't a QB? That is usually a bit more complicated as no other player can effect the game the way a QB can. I thought adding Barkley to the that OL in Philly was a big shot in the arm but if they didn't draft well with their DBs as well I don't think they win it last year. Barkley was a big difference maker but part of the puzzle.
The Packers weren't one player away from being a team like those two mentioned IMO. Parsons put them among the top contenders but he didn't put them on a different level from the others. Picking up Parsons gave the defense a shot in the arm and hopefully it will improve as the year goes on but the team still has deficiencies that need to be addressed.
TarynsEyes
October 08, 2025 at 03:24 pm
Tampa wasn't one player away, they got Brady, but they also had to get Gronk, Wirfs.
The Packers weren't and aren't one player away team before or after Parsons.
Saquan really helped Philly by taking the pass game to a limited need. This year their Offense is suffering with Saquan and needing Hurts to pass more. Last year could be deemed the rare occasion as to the one player away.
BuckyBadger
October 08, 2025 at 03:30 pm
They didn't need Gronk, he was just icing on the cake. They already had good TEs and one of the better WRs corps. Wirfs struggled a lot his rookie year, finally came around in the playoffs but had his issues. Brady knew what they had in Tampa.
Of course it is rare but it happens. Stafford to the Rams is another example. Sure they had other pickups as no team only makes one move in an off season but he put them over the top.
Since'75
October 09, 2025 at 06:42 am
Bucky....Good point about Brady.
But the drafting of tackle Tristan Wirfs in 2020 didn't hurt either, giving up only one sack his rookie season, followed up by 4x Pro Bowls, and 2x 1st team All-Pro.
barutanseijin
October 08, 2025 at 03:49 pm
The Packers are about 3 good linemen away from being a dominant team. Watson won’t be getting the ball if Love doesn’t have time to throw. Fewer three and outs from the offense will make the defense’s job easier. More TDs will also take the pressure off special teams.
Coldworld
October 08, 2025 at 03:58 pm
Right now we are a healthy Tom and Aaron Banks away from being good enough to win later on. If we regain health and keep it then my one fear is DT depth and pressure from the middle outside of obvious passing downs, not just versus the run. Fortunately I think the team that played Dallas (less Wyatt) should be more than enough against the Bengals.
TarynsEyes
October 08, 2025 at 04:09 pm
"Fortunately I think the team that played Dallas (less Wyatt) should be more than enough against the Bengals".
You mean, 'will be enough against Cincy', should don't sound very confident.
Coldworld
October 09, 2025 at 09:03 am
The Bengals post Burrows have not been able to score or stop opponents scoring. If we don’t beat them then the problems are of a wholly different magnitude than even you have foreseen.
TheKanataThrilla
October 08, 2025 at 04:18 pm
Not that a rookie would have made a huge difference, but not getting one of the top DTs to me was a big miss of the draft. Also not going after a Center either in the Draft or FA and instead having our swap of Jenkins to the C position which has been a disappointment so far.
Turophile
October 08, 2025 at 04:20 pm
It's the loss of a key player that can really doom a team's SB aspirations more than one addition.
However, if a team is close to being a real contender anyway, one key addition CAN put you over the top.
The Packers are pretty much the definition of a team that is (or was) close to being elite before the Parsons deal and despite some recent miscues, I think they qualify now as an elite team with a realistically good chance to win the SB.
As GregMeinholz pointed out, adding one key player has an effect that stretches beyong their position group. That applies to a WR like Watson or Golden, (teams put two players on them that opens up the short to middle distance game). High quality O linemen help RBs and they both help the QB, and so on.
One final point about adding a key player. Often they can take on multiple roles, like the reliable RB who also has a knack for picking up blitzes and catches well, the safety that can play corner, the ILB that can cover like a safety or be a great blitzer, a lineman who can play several positions, or a TE who is both a talented receiver and a plus blocker (good WR blockers are a nice plus as well).
the key word is 'overlap'. The more of it you have, the easier it is to be creative without tipping your hand to what is coming.
NFLfan
October 08, 2025 at 04:33 pm
Can Watson play on the O-Line effectively? -lol
LeotisHarris
October 08, 2025 at 04:37 pm
Of course a team can be one player away, but that's not the case with the Packers right now. I think more of baseball teams getting a stud pitcher at the deadline. Justin Verlander in Houston and John Lester for the Cubs. Hockey has those gamechangers, too. Patrick Roy, Mario Lemieux. Shaq to the Lakers was the one player they needed for championships. Yeah, maybe Brady to the Bucs works if you ignore the way the Packers shit the bed that season.
The Packers have a roster filled with talented players, guys who will get healthy, and guys who will improve. This team has yet to develop an identity and there's a lot of season left.
Snap the ball
October 08, 2025 at 04:53 pm
Great article
Yes we have been one player away in the Rogers years
And usually it’s a special team player away …
No different than the last two weeks…
Well I guess the Kevin King pick cost us two super bowls…
Vs home grown TJ. Watt.
HOW DO YOU LET THAT HAPPEN.
The only thing is they gave one to the Steelers for us beating the in the Super Bowl..
Speical team play like this does not win Super Bowls.
Yes I didn’t spell it correctly because since Nixon is removed from that it hasn’t been Special..
Oh does Owen Burks play for Cincinnati. Since he caused the so called fumble and hit to the head no calls in Eagles game.
I remember I hope the Packers remember also get a return right by him…
Snap the ball
October 08, 2025 at 04:56 pm
Was a cheap shot also,
but like the Eagles offense line they hold more than a baby kangaroo.
stockholder
October 08, 2025 at 06:24 pm
The packers have everything they need.
Putting players in the proper spot is the key.
Rotation will keep everyone focused.
TKWorldWide
October 08, 2025 at 07:23 pm
Another question could be: can a player be one team away?
(I didn’t say it was a GOOD question.)
PhantomII
October 08, 2025 at 09:02 pm
When AR and Adams were here, we were a #2 WR away...so yes. Now however, ML does not have a bunch of Vets...so we have a lot of mistakes in the operation and ML brings his own every week as well. This is where I am with GB as of now....ML needs someone else to call the game on Offense, Watson should help out the Offense as well. I really wanted a #1 WR to get this thing going. Reed hurt sucks and really impairs the offense and ML has not gotten Golden going nearly enough. We need more starters on ST....obviously. IF THE OFFENSE GETS HEALTHY AND STAYS HEALTHY, we may make some noise and Lloyd coming back could help with Reeds jitterbug movement skills. Reed could squeak back in the last few weeks of the season and maybe post season if we are lucky enough. Luke needs fed the ball double what he has been.
Starrbrite
October 08, 2025 at 11:47 pm
When last year we lost to Philly, our deficiencies seemed clear: no consistent pressure; and our oline was shoved around by the Philly D.
IMO, Guty concluded to reach the SB and pass Philly, he must obtain a superior pass rusher and add another piece(s) to the oline. He did so with Parsons, Banks, and Kinnard. I applauded this
strategy, but Banks looks shaky and Parsons is a stud. One player away…? Maybe!
We’ll soon know if it’s gonna work?
Go Packers!!!
T7Steve
October 09, 2025 at 06:04 am
One person CAN be the difference. Don't look at it as to what that person can bring to the table? Look at it as where would we be without that person? Just ask Cincy about it. What difference would it make to the O-line the last two games if we'd had Tom?
Since'75
October 09, 2025 at 06:31 am
The Packers went to 2 NFCCG's in a row, falling short on both.
Were they one player away?
Maybe, but Gute didn't think so, drafting a a 3 year bench player in the first round, and a rb advertised as quadzilla, who is now a bit player for another team for the vet minimum.,
marpag1
October 09, 2025 at 06:47 am
In my opinion, it's one of the most annoying things about the sports media: Invent a bunch of silly cliches and ill-defined buzzwords, and then argue about whether or not they apply.
Let's have an article about whether or not Love is "a true franchise QB." (Yes, yes... but is he also "elite?") Does Parsons "tilt the field?" Is McKinney "a true difference maker?" Do the Packers suck because they don't really have "a lock-down corner?" Or "a true WR1?" Does Rashan "make everybody better?"
Inquiring minds want to know...
PhantomII
October 09, 2025 at 08:45 pm
You didn't mention coaching at all? I think Love is closer to Elite than ML is the guy steering us to a Championship.
None of his tree show any signs of increase.
Turophile
October 10, 2025 at 06:52 am
ML ? Is that Matt La ? If you want to shorten his name, MLF is a better choice.
PS La Fleur is the flower, maybe it all flows from him......
TKWorldWide
October 11, 2025 at 06:28 am
Wakanda forever!
Since'75
October 10, 2025 at 05:58 pm
I'm sorry, did i read this right?
"Does Rashan "make everybody better?"
Did you possibly mean to say Micah?
I mean, that's really the only way it makes any sense to me.
.02
Since'75
October 10, 2025 at 08:39 pm
Thumbs down, if you ever dig down deep, and muster up a thought or opinion, let us know.
Good luck 😲