Roster Battle Predictions: Offense
The countdown to roster cutdown day is on, and it's time for a deep dive into the roster battles.
By Kalani Jones
For football teams, analysts, and fans, one of the most important parts of the preseason / training camp cycle are positional battles. Whether they concern starting quarterbacks or backups, these players are engaged in real competition with each other, and everything is on the line. Losing these battles might mean losing your job, and winning might mean getting that one shot at NFL stardom and generational wealth.
Perhaps the most famous positional battle in NFL history was Joe Montana vs Steve Young in the early 90’s. Two of the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history were facing off in a contest that lasted *years*, and led to multiple Super Bowl victories all around. How about Phillip Rivers vs Drew Brees in the 00s, or on the other end of the talent spectrum, Tim Tebow against Kyle Orton in 2011. That same year the Saints were letting *four running backs battle it out, in Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas, and Chris Ivory. Positional battles can range from friendly to downright hostile, and everything in between.
The Packers have no shortage of positional battles, and it’s little wonder why. For years, both GM Brian Gutekunst and head coach Matt LaFluer have preached the need to create competition at all levels of the roster. It’s the old adage that “iron sharpens iron”, and while it’s not exactly re-inventing the wheel from a sports perspective, the Packers have certainly embraced this side of roster building. Consider their affinity for drafting players of the same position in the same draft. This year it was Matthew Golden and Savion Williams (though that didn't lead to much of an actual competition between the two, for this year at least), but we can also remember Tucker Kraft-Luke Musgrave, Christian Watson / Romeo Dobbs, Dontayvion Wicks / Jarden Reed / Grant Dubose, even back to Jaire Alexander / Josh Jackson. Those are just a few examples, but this strategy of “stuffing” a position with picks leads directly to training camp competition. Outside of being drafted in the same year, players are certainly drafted for the sole purpose of creating competition for players already on the roster. Think Jordan Morgan being brought in, even after Rasheed Walker’s solid year in 2023.
So what determines who wins a training camp battle? The first and most obvious indicator of a training camp winner is, of course, performance. You play to win the game, as hall of famer Herm Edwards so cogently reminded us all.
There are a couple of other factors at play as well that are a little less visible to the fans on the outside of 1265 Lombardi Ave. The first one is playbook knowledge, personal habits, health, special teams contributions, contract, and age. Playbook knowledge and personal habits (studying, training, chemistry with fellow players) are obviously the most obscure variables to us, as most of this happens behind closed doors. We can get a small peak at some of this on the practice field, but it’s exactly that: small.
Health is obviously not a factor that a player can directly control, and it’s obviously an unfortunate side of football, but it is something that the team must take into consideration. Contract and age are the front office’s side of things, and can be a major advantage that one player has over another, especially when looking at competitions on the fringes of the roster. Youth represents more potential upside, less health concerns, and usually a cheaper contract with more years of “team control”. Special teams contributions can be what really puts a player over the top, however. The best ability is availability, and if a player can make himself available to a whole other side of the ball, in addition to their normal position, all the better. Since the hiring of Rich Bisaccia, the Packers have certainly changed their special teams philosophies when it comes to this. In the past the special teams were seemingly an afterthought in roster construction, and rarely, if ever, got to keep it’s own players on the roster.
Today I will be going position by position on offense, to take a look at how those position battles are progressing, as we are now halfway through the preseason. I’ll be noting if any new battles have emerged through this period, if any have become all but settled, and we’ll keep in mind all of the factors we just discussed. There’s not much I can quantify from either playbook knowledge or habits, but we’ll attempt to ascertain some details from what the decision makers have said.
Quarterbacks
Sean Clifford vs Taylor Elgersma
Everyday when they get out of bed, I guarantee that the Packers front office thanks the football gods that they have a completely settled situation at QB1 and QB2. One must only look back a few days at what's going on in Indianapolis to see how lucky we are.
The intrigue comes from the QB3 position, and whether rookie Canadian QB Taylor Elgersma could unseat Sean Clifford from his spot in the practice squad. Elgersma had his work cut out for him from the beginning, starting with the unusual situation of needing to learn a whole new set of football rules. As a Canadian player, Elgersma learned the game with different rules and field dimensions (110 yards long by 65 yards wide, as opposed to the American 100 yards by 53 ⅓ yards). The youth and contract situation are heavily skewed in Elgersma’s favor, as Elgersma is three years younger and has two more years of team control. In my opinion however, it would be unfair to expect Elgersma to have as adequate control over the playbook as Clifford, considering Clifford’s three years of experience in Matt Lafluer’s system. In preseason games (and from reporters on the sideline at practice), Elgersma has the better arm, but I will give the edge to Clifford for the time being. I’m sure the Packers would love to keep both, but having two quarterbacks on the practice squad may be a bit too rich.
Running Back
Emmanuel Wilson vs Chris Brooks and Amar Johnson vs Isreal Abandikanda vs the loser
There are two separate battles happening here, although I've seen some suggesting otherwise. With the news that Marshawn Lloyd (pretty obviously the team’s preferred RB2) will be missing a small amount of time with hamstring tightness, the competition between Emmanuel Wilson and Chris Brooks is now for RB 2, to begin the season at least. Wilson and Brooks were both heavy contributors for the Packers last season, with Brooks really coming on from Thanksgiving onward.The question is whether Amar Johnson or Isreal Abandikanda can convince the front office that they should make the team, not only against each other, but over whoever loses the Wilson vs Brooks battle. I don’t think anyone really saw this question coming before training camp, but with the performances these backs have put on so far through training camps, I think it’s certainly on the Packers’ mind.
If Johnson / Abandikanda can make it a close race between them and the loser, I think the front office may be tempted. Both Brooks and Wilson have only one year left on their contract, while Johnson / Abandikanda have three and four years left, respectively. Johnson has looked like the more dynamic running back in preseason so far, while Abandikanda has looked great returning kickoffs. However, it’s that last point that I think will be the biggest, and as of now, I will give Abandikanda the edge over Johnson.
That being said, I think this is a classic case of not overthinking what you have. Both Brooks and Wilson have been capable contributors to the offense when they’ve been called upon, and the Packers should roll the dice on getting Abandikanda and Johnson back on the practice squad, keeping Brooks and Wilson on the 53. This would leave the Packers looking for a kickoff returner, possibly Marshawn Lloyd?
Wide Receiver / Tight Ends
Mecole Hardman vs Malik Heath and Ben Simms vs John Fitzpatrick
In what is certainly the most crowded position field on the Packers and maybe the entire league, the wide receiver room actually looks to be quite set, as far as the 53 man roster is concerned. Matthew Golden, Savion Williams, Dontayvion Wicks, Jayden Reed, Romeo Dobbs, and Christian Watson will be on that roster. There is potential for a seventh wide receiver to be on the roster post cutdown day, considering massive injuries to the room that seem to be threatening to keep others out of the week one lineup as well.
The two most obvious contenders are Mecole Hardman and Malik Heath. They’ve got different skill sets, with Hadman likely needing to make the team as the primary punt returner and Heath specializing as a blocker. Both players’ upside is limited at this point in their career, but I’ve got no doubt that either could serve in a “break in case of emergency” role, once (hopefully) injuries in the room stabilize.
My assumption entering the preseason was that Hardman was likely the shoe-in for this role, but his struggles in week one against the Jets at punt return has thrown that into doubt. Heath’s extra year of contract control and blocking skills may give him an edge, but could this be a rare situation where a player’s youth may hurt them? Considering the youth already in the wide receiver room, having a player with Hardman’s playoff experience might be tantalizing. Even still, right now my prediction would be that Heath is the victor, and I’m giving him the edge for his blocking ability (in my opinion he’s by far the best in this area among the wide receivers), and the contract.
At tight end, Ben Simms and John Fitzpatrick had a short lived battle, in which Fitzpatrick has all but run away with the job. The team should have no problem bringing Simms back on the practice squad, if they choose.
Offensive Line
Raheed Walker vs Jordan Morgan and Jacob Monk vs Donovan Jennings vs Kadeem Telfort vs Tyler Cooper
In what is by far the most buzz-worthy position battle on the roster right now, we have Rasheed Walker and Jordan Morgan locked in a tight race for the left tackle spot. For Rasheed Walker, the stakes couldn’t be higher, which likely makes the groin injury that has held him out for preseason games all the more frustrating. As Walker enters a contract year, it’s extremely likely, if not obvious, that his next contract will not be coming from the Green Bay Packers.
While the former seventh round selection has outplayed every possible expectation of that draft slot, the Packers still choose to take Jordan Morgan to compete with him. While Morgan was relegated to a battle with Sean Rhyan last year, he has taken a firm grip on tackle this preseason and so far, has not looked back. Through two preseason games, Morgan has not surrendered a SINGLE pressure. With Walker likely returning to full time practice this week, look for that battle to heat up, but I lean towards Walker retaining the job. Trading Walker might seem like a really tempting opportunity, but keeping the top-end OL depth intact is looking more and more important as the preseason goes by.
Meanwhile at the bottom of the depth chart, there’s a group of four linemen seemingly struggling to just keep their heads above water. I and others praised the seeming depth of the position as the Packers entered training camp, and looked to be eight or nine NFL caliber players deep along the line. Now? Travis Glover is gone for the year, after a great start to camp. The rest have looked, well, *bad. Jacob Monk, Donovan Jennings and Tyler Cooper have struggled mightily, while Telfort may have already sunk his chances to make the team. Following the starting five, and a pair of young tackles in Morgan and Belton (who obviously had his own struggles this week), how many more does the team keep? My prediction here might be a bit of a cop out, but I’m guessing that someone not even on the roster now is on that 53 man list, along with Jacob Monk to make it nine linemen kept on the roster.
Final Thoughts
The Packers obviously have a ton of difficult decisions to make at every position, when the roster will need to be trimmed down next Tuesday. Join me tomorrow for a look at battles on the defensive side of the ball, including some of what I believe to be the most difficult decisions to make on the entire team: the defensive line.
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Co-Owner of the thirteen time world champion Green Bay Packers. Sometimes I write about them. Follow me on Twitter at https://x.com/kjones_in_co and on Substack for film breakdowns!
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Comments (19)
splitpea1
August 20, 2025 at 10:28 am
It's early for this considering there is still one more game left; players' stock could rise or fall depending on a standout performance one way or the other. However, with such little time between the last game and cutdowns, I understand the need for everyone to get their predictions in. As always, there will be a couple of surprises.
Adding another OL from somewhere else sounds like a real good idea. Monk really doesn't deserve to make the team in my opinion, but it all comes down to whether the Packers think he can be developed anytime soon.
I don't trust Hardman at KR, either. But Marshawn Lloyd for this? Surely you jest.
RB: Could be one of those surprises here with someone really having a breakout performance against Seattle.
Defense: To me the most difficult decision is at CB, but we'll see what you think.
Coldworld
August 20, 2025 at 11:57 am
Some of the breakouts may not yet be being recognized by outsiders. Ignoring those regularly discussed or positions with no obvious openings (WR), I’d say possibles are
Johnny Lumpkin TE. Our best blocking TE (lead and in-line) through camp and preseason and highest rated offensive player by pff on Saturday.
CB Micah Robinson. Highest rated CB on Saturday by PFF but not targetted over 18 perimeter snaps, so it the rating what it seems. In practice, he seems to have been consistently the best outside corner (of the new ones) by some margin. I understand he was running with the twos on Tuesday over Hadden and the rest.
OL. Lecitus Smith as a C/G was a borderline option as a G last year. Now back, he did nothing wrong visibly as a C last weekend. PFF also gave him a good rating.
As well as Smith, two other deep depth players on the OL did pretty well later, Brant Banks (RT) and JJ Lippe. Another game might put one or both of those in contention. Developmental but a better investment option than, say, Telfort.
I’d give a shout out to Jamon Johnson too. Bad in the first game, very good in the second, especially against the run. He’s started to make some coverage plays in practice too. Another good game might give him an outside chance if they want a more athletic thumper as depth.
We will see a fair amount of these guys again this week. As you said, still time to shake things up, either way. I hope the teams eyes and minds remain more wide open than many of the writers of these pieces.
As a slightly different point, here’s my question re. Hardman: as a WR no, but as a PR then, if the alternative is Nixon or Reed, the net gain may still be worth it? There is no serious other contender I’m aware of on the 90.
Tundraboy
August 20, 2025 at 04:48 pm
"I don't trust Hardman at KR, either. But Marshawn Lloyd for this? Surely you jest."
Lol I thought I was seeing seeing things reading that one myself.
crayzpackfan
August 20, 2025 at 10:58 am
Just food for thought. If Morgan does get the LT1 spot, there is one contending team out there very desperate for a LT, the Chargers. They lost their starting LT, Rashawn Slater for the season and had to move Alt over there leaving the RT spot vulnerable. A move like this could get us a nice draft pick in return, while also being good for Walker to ball out his final year of his contract before next years free agency market or a resign with the Chargers. Everyone wins.
BuckyBadger
August 20, 2025 at 11:09 am
The OL would be thin and an injury would really hurt the teams chances. Unless they are willing to give up a 2nd I would prefer to have the depth at a very important position.
crayzpackfan
August 20, 2025 at 11:26 am
That's valid too. But if he get's beat out and doesn't play and then we let him walk after the year, which we would, we would get absolutely nothing out of it other than maybe a low comp pick perhaps?
Coldworld
August 20, 2025 at 01:28 pm
At the moment Morgan is temporarily LG., so the competition is on hiatus. It does not seem to me that he’s clearly better than Walker in any case, despite his pass pro having greatly improved. If he’s not the starting LT, he is either a starting G or at worst the back up LT, LG, RG. Walker has never played inside in GB.
He’s also clearly at worst the 3rd best T currently, although if he doesn’t get snaps at RT, it’s not clear how well he would fare if Tom went down or if they’d even try him.
Even if he starts week one at LT, the chances are he’s not there long. Rhyan is the back up C, but if he does start at RG and had to moved there due to Jacobs going down, Morgan likely moves to RG. So if a man goes down anywhere it’s likely Morgan is moved, with the possible exception of RG and only then because of him not being prepared.
That’s a pretty valuable player even if he doesn’t start.
Tundraboy
August 20, 2025 at 04:45 pm
Exactly.And if that's not a sound, rational, enough reason, does anyone really want to temp fate.
LambeauPlain
August 20, 2025 at 01:30 pm
I'm with BB on this. No way I trade Walker this year unless it is an offer Gutey can't refuse. Something like: "Hello Brian! Jerry here. Say, how about a straight up trade...we need a LT. Parsons for Walker." (kidding, kind of)
Morgan, even if he wins LT, would be the first replacement for any injury at G. Walker, both T spots. Belton a distant 3rd man in. For 2025, both are just too valuable.
Guam
August 20, 2025 at 12:18 pm
Unfortunately the OL depth that either got injured (Glover) or didn't develop (everybody else) this year I think will preclude trading Walker. The Packers might have been sorely tempted to get 2026 draft value for Walker (certainly a second rounder if not a first round choice) if their depth had allowed it. However the Packers really only go six deep on the OL with Belton as a "use in an emergency only" type player this year and very little behind him.
I'm afraid the Packers will have to settle for a 2027 comp pick for Walker as long as Gute doesn't sign any free agents that year. Walker's prospective contract of $20MM plus AAV almost certainly puts him in the third round comp pick range.
Cheezehead72
August 20, 2025 at 11:04 am
The Wilson/Brooks battle is the hardest one. With Lloyd not being available (yes it probably is not his fault) having the best RB2 is required. The Packers put Lloyd on IR and keep both Wilson and Brooks. The other two will be let go and one or both will be picked up for the practice squad. If Llyod comes back or one of the PS RBs show that they should be elevated the Packers can trade Wilson or Brooks to a team that needs a RB during the season.
I like Fitzpatrick a lot. He is an old school type TE that we need.
Clifford or Elgersma is another tough decision. They could release both and sign the one left over to the PS or both. If one of these two show that they could be depended on to be a QB2 that is the one you keep because they could be the QB2 next season. My opinion is Clifford has peaked. I believe Elgersma has more upside but I am not there every day.
BuckyBadger
August 20, 2025 at 11:19 am
People wonder why training camp can become heated? I hear fans scream "same team, same team, save that for when you play an opponent" but when many of these guys show up to camp their teammate is their opponent. What the fringe guys or those vying for starting spots or more playing time are fighting for means more than winning a Super Bowl. As the article stated players are fighting for their jobs and the chance to earn generational wealth. Many think training camp in the pros is like it was on their H.S. team where you work on team building, that is very secondary this level. In the pros it is about making the team and putting your self in the best position to earn more money. Sure Walker and Morgan would love to host up the Lombardi at the end of the year but they want to win that starting LT job more, especially Walker who is in a contract year.
Guys like Brooks, Wilson, Hardman and Health are fighting to just keep getting paid to play football. Again they would love to be on a championship team but making the team would mean far more to them and their family.
Bitternotsour
August 20, 2025 at 01:29 pm
Imagine the stress of literally performing for your livelihood/for a better life for your family. Another reason when I see guys described as "just a guy" it makes my blood boil. Just a guy, you know, one of 1200 on the fucking planet.
LambeauPlain
August 20, 2025 at 11:37 am
For a team that runs the ball over 50% of snaps, I keep 4 RBs on the 53: JJ, Wilson, Brooks and Johnson. Abandikanda to the PS.
Johnson, to go with his very productive 4 years at SDSU where he ran for 3,100 yards, over 20 TDs and caught 53 passes...and has showed he can pass block too...has the more polished RB skills. He'd be the smallest RB on the team at a chiseled 5'11" 205 lbs...and runs a 4.4. He might be able to do what Lloyd could do as a changeup.
But Abandikanda is appealing too. Nice looking player...Abrams Tank cruising at a top speed of 4.45!
And Lloyd? Placed in the tub...again.
justjan
August 20, 2025 at 01:06 pm
I think (hope) you are wrong on most choices.
LambeauPlain
August 20, 2025 at 01:46 pm
Nixon gave a long interview today (at Packerswire) and was impressed with him. I knew he was intelligent but his confidence is off the charts. Some could interpret it as being over-confident...I didn't. He came off as "I always knew I could play DB...I just needed a chance."
His assessment of Golden was encouraging. We have read a lot about Matthew's speed, route running and sticky hands and Nixon is impressed with those skills too....but Nixon also mentioned Golden's very strong hands and upper body. He'd know.
Packers0808
August 20, 2025 at 02:08 pm
I would do one of 3 things with Lloyd, IR, PS or cut! The guy may have talent for the Ice Tub. Like I said other day, he is no good when he can't EVER be counted on to be healthy, he is like Watson and Alexander, good but not good.[ Yup thumbs down galore. ]
LambeauPlain
August 20, 2025 at 03:02 pm
He won't be cut. I fear he would never make the PS. So the only two choices are IR or on the 53.
Depends on how bad the hamstring is...if he has rapid healing prior to cutdown day, he will likely be rostered. If not...IR.
EricTorkelson
August 20, 2025 at 08:45 pm
Thanks for the article Kalani ... My Predictions
Clifford signed on PS , Elgersma cut
E Wilson C Brooks roster, A Johnson, I Abandikanda PS
M Heath roster, M Hardman cut
J Fitzpatrick roster, B Simms PS
Walker ( wins LT ) by default Morgan bench . I dont study PFF numbers like our friend Coldworld just go by what I have seen at games or reviewed on TV. Although I dont attend as many games like in the past in the Packers, Texans game at Lambeau I saw Walker playing LT get beat by Texans speed rushers like a rented mule, he was bad. What walker has going for him is he was never cross trained, so he is pretty much a one position guy... Im going back to my earlier prediction Morgan gets the starting nod by game 4.....